id 3
- Europe > Netherlands > North Holland > Amsterdam (0.04)
- Asia > Singapore (0.04)
- Asia > China > Beijing > Beijing (0.04)
- Europe > Netherlands > North Holland > Amsterdam (0.04)
- Asia > Singapore (0.04)
- Asia > China > Beijing > Beijing (0.04)
A Deferred Proofs
Let m 2 and a,b A such that a is ordered before b in tie-breaking. Suppose PW (P) = { a,b } for some truthful profile P . Suppose PW (P) = { a,b } for some truthful profile P . Agents from the former set will best-respond to rankings whose top preference is a, changing the winner to a, whereas agents from the latter set will best-respond to rankings whose top preference is b, changing the winner back to b. If not, the unique equilibrium winner will be b .
Strategic Behavior is Bliss: Iterative Voting Improves Social Welfare
Recent work in iterative voting has defined the additive dynamic price of anarchy (ADPoA) as the difference in social welfare between the truthful and worst-case equilibrium profiles resulting from repeated strategic manipulations. While iterative plurality has been shown to only return alternatives with at most one less initial votes than the truthful winner, it is less understood how agents' welfare changes in equilibrium. To this end, we differentiate agents' utility from their manipulation mechanism and determine iterative plurality's ADPoA in the worst-and average-cases. We first prove that the worst-case ADPoA is linear in the number of agents. To overcome this negative result, we study the average-case ADPoA and prove that equilibrium winners have a constant order welfare advantage over the truthful winner in expectation. Our positive results illustrate the prospect for social welfare to increase due to strategic manipulation.
- North America > United States > New York > Rensselaer County > Troy (0.04)
- North America > United States > Georgia > Fulton County > Atlanta (0.04)
- North America > United States > California > Santa Clara County > Palo Alto (0.04)
- (3 more...)
OrderFusion: Encoding Orderbook for Probabilistic Intraday Price Prediction
Yu, Runyao, Tao, Yuchen, Leimgruber, Fabian, Esterl, Tara, Cremer, Jochen L.
Efficient and reliable probabilistic prediction of intraday electricity prices is essential to manage market uncertainties and support robust trading strategies. However, current methods often suffer from parameter inefficiencies, as they fail to fully exploit the potential of modeling interdependencies between bids and offers in the orderbook, requiring a large number of parameters for representation learning. Furthermore, these methods face the quantile crossing issue, where upper quantiles fall below the lower quantiles, resulting in unreliable probabilistic predictions. To address these two challenges, we propose an encoding method called OrderFusion and design a hierarchical multi-quantile head. The OrderFusion encodes the orderbook into a 2.5D representation, which is processed by a tailored jump cross-attention backbone to capture the interdependencies of bids and offers, enabling parameter-efficient learning. The head sets the median quantile as an anchor and predicts multiple quantiles hierarchically, ensuring reliability by enforcing monotonicity between quantiles through non-negative functions. Extensive experiments and ablation studies are conducted on four price indices: 60-min ID3, 60-min ID1, 15-min ID3, and 15-min ID1 using the German orderbook over three years to ensure a fair evaluation. The results confirm that our design choices improve overall performance, offering a parameter-efficient and reliable solution for probabilistic intraday price prediction.
- Europe > Austria > Vienna (0.14)
- Europe > Netherlands > South Holland > Delft (0.04)
- North America > United States (0.04)
- Europe > Germany > North Rhine-Westphalia > Cologne Region > Aachen (0.04)
- Energy > Power Industry (1.00)
- Banking & Finance > Trading (1.00)
- Energy > Renewable (0.95)
Step-by-Step Unmasking for Parameter-Efficient Fine-tuning of Large Language Models
Agarwal, Aradhye, Ramesh, Suhas K, Sengupta, Ayan, Chakraborty, Tanmoy
Fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) on downstream tasks requires substantial computational resources. A class of parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) aims to mitigate these computational challenges by selectively fine-tuning only a small fraction of the model parameters. Although computationally efficient, these techniques often fail to match the performance of fully fine-tuned models, primarily due to inherent biases introduced during parameter selection. Traditional selective PEFT techniques use a fixed set of parameters based on a predefined budget (a process also known as unmasking), failing to capture parameter importance dynamically and often ending up exceeding the budget. We introduce $\text{ID}^3$, a novel selective PEFT method that calculates parameter importance continually and dynamically unmasks parameters by balancing exploration and exploitation in parameter selection. Our empirical study on 15 tasks spanning natural language understanding and generative tasks demonstrates the effectiveness of our method compared to fixed-masking-based PEFT techniques. We analytically show that $\text{ID}^3$ reduces the number of gradient updates by a factor of two, enhancing computational efficiency. $\text{ID}^3$ is robust to random initialization of neurons and, therefore, can be seamlessly integrated into existing additive and reparametrization-based PEFT modules such as adapters and LoRA for dynamic sparsification.
CoXQL: A Dataset for Parsing Explanation Requests in Conversational XAI Systems
Wang, Qianli, Anikina, Tatiana, Feldhus, Nils, Ostermann, Simon, Möller, Sebastian
Conversational explainable artificial intelligence (ConvXAI) systems based on large language models (LLMs) have garnered significant interest from the research community in natural language processing (NLP) and human-computer interaction (HCI). Such systems can provide answers to user questions about explanations in dialogues, have the potential to enhance users' comprehension and offer more information about the decision-making and generation processes of LLMs. Currently available ConvXAI systems are based on intent recognition rather than free chat, as this has been found to be more precise and reliable in identifying users' intentions. However, the recognition of intents still presents a challenge in the case of ConvXAI, since little training data exist and the domain is highly specific, as there is a broad range of XAI methods to map requests onto. In order to bridge this gap, we present CoXQL, the first dataset for user intent recognition in ConvXAI, covering 31 intents, seven of which require filling multiple slots. Subsequently, we enhance an existing parsing approach by incorporating template validations, and conduct an evaluation of several LLMs on CoXQL using different parsing strategies. We conclude that the improved parsing approach (MP+) surpasses the performance of previous approaches. We also discover that intents with multiple slots remain highly challenging for LLMs.
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- Asia > Singapore (0.04)
- North America > Dominican Republic (0.04)
- (6 more...)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Natural Language > Large Language Model (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Natural Language > Grammars & Parsing (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (1.00)
Multivariate Probabilistic Forecasting of Intraday Electricity Prices using Normalizing Flows
Cramer, Eike, Witthaut, Dirk, Mitsos, Alexander, Dahmen, Manuel
Electricity is traded on various markets with different time horizons and regulations. Short-term intraday trading becomes increasingly important due to the higher penetration of renewables. In Germany, the intraday electricity price typically fluctuates around the day-ahead price of the European Power EXchange (EPEX) spot markets in a distinct hourly pattern. This work proposes a probabilistic modeling approach that models the intraday price difference to the day-ahead contracts. The model captures the emerging hourly pattern by considering the four 15 min intervals in each day-ahead price interval as a four-dimensional joint probability distribution. The resulting nontrivial, multivariate price difference distribution is learned using a normalizing flow, i.e., a deep generative model that combines conditional multivariate density estimation and probabilistic regression. Furthermore, this work discusses the influence of different external impact factors based on literature insights and impact analysis using explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). The normalizing flow is compared to an informed selection of historical data and probabilistic forecasts using a Gaussian copula and a Gaussian regression model. Among the different models, the normalizing flow identifies the trends with the highest accuracy and has the narrowest prediction intervals. Both the XAI analysis and the empirical experiments highlight that the immediate history of the price difference realization and the increments of the day-ahead price have the most substantial impact on the price difference.
- Europe > Germany (0.35)
- North America > United States (0.28)
- Energy > Renewable > Solar (1.00)
- Energy > Power Industry (1.00)
- Energy > Oil & Gas (1.00)
- Banking & Finance > Trading (1.00)
Strategic Behavior is Bliss: Iterative Voting Improves Social Welfare
Recent work in iterative voting has defined the additive dynamic price of anarchy (ADPoA) as the difference in social welfare between the truthful and worst-case equilibrium profiles resulting from repeated strategic manipulations. While iterative plurality has been shown to only return alternatives with at most one less initial votes than the truthful winner, it is less understood how agents' welfare changes in equilibrium. To this end, we differentiate agents' utility from their manipulation mechanism and determine iterative plurality's ADPoA in the worst- and average-cases. We first prove that the worst-case ADPoA is linear in the number of agents. To overcome this negative result, we study the average-case ADPoA and prove that equilibrium winners have a constant order welfare advantage over the truthful winner in expectation. Our positive results illustrate the prospect for social welfare to increase due to strategic manipulation.
- North America > United States > New York > Rensselaer County > Troy (0.04)
- North America > United States > Georgia > Fulton County > Atlanta (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
- (4 more...)
A Digital Smart City for Emerging Mobility Systems
Zayas, Raymond M., Beaver, Logan E., Chalaki, Behdad, Bang, Heeseung, Malikopoulos, Andreas A.
The increasing demand for emerging mobility systems with connected and automated vehicles has imposed the necessity for quality testing environments to support their development. In this paper, we introduce a Unity-based virtual simulation environment for emerging mobility systems, called the Information and Decision Science Lab's Scaled Smart Digital City (IDS 3D City), intended to operate alongside its physical peer and its established control framework. By utilizing the Robot Operation System, AirSim, and Unity, we constructed a simulation environment capable of iteratively designing experiments significantly faster than it is possible in a physical testbed. This environment provides an intermediate step to validate the effectiveness of our control algorithms prior to their implementation in the physical testbed. The IDS 3D City also enables us to demonstrate that our control algorithms work independently of the underlying vehicle dynamics, as the vehicle dynamics introduced by AirSim operate at a different scale than our scaled smart city. Finally, we demonstrate the behavior of our digital environment by performing an experiment in both the virtual and physical environments and comparing their outputs.
- North America > United States > Delaware > New Castle County > Newark (0.14)
- North America > United States > Texas (0.04)
- North America > United States > Michigan > Washtenaw County > Ann Arbor (0.04)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Norfolk County > Brookline (0.04)
- Transportation > Infrastructure & Services (1.00)
- Transportation > Ground > Road (0.95)